[ADMB Users] Fail to get convergence

Saang-Yoon shyunuw at gmail.com
Tue Nov 11 09:07:03 PST 2014


Dr. Fournier.   Yes, it runs!!!  GREAT!!!  Thank you very much for your 
help.
Saang-Yoon

On Tuesday, November 11, 2014 10:36:09 AM UTC-5, dave fournier wrote:

>  On 11/10/2014 09:23 PM, Saang-Yoon wrote:
>  
>  Hi, Dr. Fournier and Hans.
> Attached are two TPL files:
> (1)  ssmbr3v3.TPL, which is based on Hans' link below (i.e., the page in 
> the ADMB manual).
>  (2)  ssmbr3v4.TPL, which is based on Dr. Fournier's suggestion below.
> Although both files still fail to generate its corresponding COR file, 
>  the 1st TPL (i.e., ssmbr3v3.TPL) is better than the 2nd TPL (i.e., 
> ssmbr3v4.TPL).    Would you mind checking those attached TPL files?    FYI, 
> following are the command for run: 
>
>  admb -r -s ssmbr3v3.tpl
> ssmbr3v3 -ind simdataall2.dat -ainp ssmbr3v3.pin -phase 3 -noinit
>  
> admb -r -s ssmbr3v4.tpl
> ssmbr3v4 -ind simdataall2.dat -ainp ssmbr3v4.pin -phase 3 -noinit
>
>  Again thank you very much.
> Saang-Yoon
>  
>
> The code for the choleski factor should look more like this.
> I changed both and the model runs fine.
>
>
>  dvar_matrix L(1,nages,1,nages);       // Cholesky factor
>   L.initialize();
>   L(1,1)=1;
>   L(2,1)=rp/sqrt(1+rp*rp);
>   L(2,2)=1/sqrt(1+rp*rp);
>   L(3,2)=sp/sqrt(1+sp*sp);
>   L(3,3)=1/sqrt(1+sp*sp);
>
> However the bounds on rp and ro are probably not what you want.
>
>
>
>
>  
>  
> On Thursday, November 6, 2014 10:30:11 AM UTC-5, Hans wrote:
>
>> See also: 
>>
>>  
>> http://www.admb-project.org/examples/admb-tricks/parameterization/covariance-matrices/covariance-matrices
>>  
>>  Hans
>>  
>> On Thu, Nov 6, 2014 at 4:23 PM, dave fournier <da... at otter-rsch.com> 
>> wrote:
>>
>>>  On 11/05/2014 05:10 PM, Saang-Yoon wrote:
>>>
>>> As I said, you should work with the Choleski decomposition of the 
>>> correlation matrix.
>>>
>>> In the simple 3x3 case your conditions imply that  it is determined by 2 
>>> parameters
>>>
>>> r and s   with bounds a and b such that   a<=r<=b.  You get a and b by 
>>> solving
>>>
>>>      0.0<=     r/sqrt(1+r*r)  <=0.7
>>>  
>>> The matrix is
>>>
>>>     1                               0                           0
>>>
>>>      r/sqrt(1+r*r)    1/sqrt(1+r*r)                0
>>>
>>>       0                     s/sqrt(1+s*s)    1/sqrt(1+s*s)      
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>   Hi, Dr. Fournier and others.  
>>> I made some progress.   Exploring many possibilities, I found that the 
>>> following assumptions help, but there is still a concern.
>>> (Assumption 1) Three age classes are not from the same cohort, and thus 
>>> age class 1 and 3 are presumed to be independent.    Thus I fix the 
>>> correlation coefficient between age class 1 and 3 as zero.  
>>> (Assumption 2) If there is a correlation between neighbor age classes 
>>> (e.g., "1 vs. 2", and "2 vs. 3"), the correlation should be positive (i.e. 
>>> autocorrelation over the years).    Thus I set bounds of correlation 
>>> between those neighbor classes to be positive: (e.g.,  init_bounded_number 
>>> corp12(0.0,0.7,3);  )
>>>
>>>  Then now I have the resultant COR file (i.e., convergence was made).  
>>> It was good news, but the estimates of correlation coefficients between 
>>> neighbor age classes are stuck to the uppder bound, 0.7.  If I allow a wide 
>>> bound (e.g., init_bounded_number corp12(0.0,0.9,3); ), then I failed to get 
>>> positive definite matrices.  
>>>
>>>  admb -r -s ssmbr3v4.tpl 
>>> ssmbr3v4 -ind simdataall2.dat -ainp ssmbr3v3.pin -phase 1 -noinit 
>>>
>>>  Any advice would be appreciated.    Best Wishes,
>>> Saang-Yoon
>>>
>>> On Tuesday, November 4, 2014 6:30:56 PM UTC-5, dave fournier wrote:
>>>
>>>>  On 11/04/2014 02:58 PM, Saang-Yoon wrote:
>>>>
>>>> Hmm.  Well its like this. Pick a number between -infinity and + 
>>>> infinity. Why would you expect that it would need to be positive.
>>>>
>>>> or a matrix like
>>>>
>>>>   1 .9 .9
>>>> .9 1 -.50
>>>> .9 -.50 1
>>>>
>>>> If you check you will see that just like -1 is negative, this matrix is 
>>>> not positive definite.
>>>>
>>>> What you should be asking is how does one parameterize the positive 
>>>> definite matrices in a
>>>> nice way to do nonlinear parameter estimation.  
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>   Hi, Dr. Fournier.   Thank you very much for your reply.   Attached 
>>>> is models that reflect the TPL code.   At the moment, I have no clue about 
>>>> why the covariance matrix is not positive definite.    
>>>> Saang-Yoon
>>>>
>>>> On Monday, November 3, 2014 2:58:49 PM UTC-5, dave fournier wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> What makes you think the covariance matrix will be positive definite 
>>>>> with your parameterization?
>>>>>
>>>>> On Sunday, November 2, 2014 5:49:50 PM UTC-8, Saang-Yoon wrote: 
>>>>>>
>>>>>>  Hi.   There was no error in compile-link for the attached TPL file; 
>>>>>> i.e., I got its executable file.    However, I fail to get convergence 
>>>>>> results.     Would you mind checking the TPL? 
>>>>>> Following are commands for runs.   
>>>>>>
>>>>>>  admb -r -s ssmbr3v4.tpl
>>>>>> ssmbr3v4 -ind simdataall2.dat -ainp ssmbr3v3.pin -phase 1 -noinit
>>>>>> ssmbr3v4 -ind simdataall2.dat -ainp ssmbr3v3.pin -phase 9 -noinit
>>>>>>
>>>>>>  Thank you.
>>>>>> Saang-Yoon
>>>>>>  
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