[ADMB Users] SE Estimates including process error in ADMB
dave fournier
davef at otter-rsch.com
Mon Nov 15 19:00:56 PST 2010
OK,
there are inly ar efew thing to play with. for notation let
F(x,u) be the likelihood for x and u.
let
L(x) = int F(x,u) du
be what we get after integrating out u either exactly or by the laplace
approx.
and let xhat uhat(xhat) be the miximizing values.
We have the Hessians L_xx(xhat), and F_uu(xhat,uhat(xhat)
and the gradients uhat'(xhat)
Then the covariance matrix for x,u is assumed to be
L_xx^{-1} L_xx^{-1} * uhat'(x)
uhat'(xhat)*L_xx^{-1} F_uu^{-1} + uhat'(xhat)*L_xx^{-1}*uhat'(x)
The idea is that u-uhat(xhat) is independent of xhat i.e the only
correlation is between
xhat and uhat(x)
Put in transposes where necessary.
For any function of x,u the covariance is computed by the delta method.
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